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FRAUD INTELLIGENCE · CASE FILES · GLOBAL SCOREBOARD
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INTEL
PIG BUTCHERING: now the #1 loss category in the US by estimated volume / HUSHPUPPI: the Instagram that became the evidence -- Case 001 open / BEC: one spoofed email, one wire, seven figures -- see the methodology / ROSS ULBRICHT: full pardon January 21 2025 after 11+ years -- Case 013 open / ALL FIGURES LABELED: estimate vs conviction vs market collapse -- see Methodology / UNODC 2023: $5.4B estimated annually from SE Asia pig-butchering compounds [UNVERIFIED] / PIG BUTCHERING: now the #1 loss category in the US by estimated volume / HUSHPUPPI: the Instagram that became the evidence -- Case 001 open / BEC: one spoofed email, one wire, seven figures -- see the methodology / ROSS ULBRICHT: full pardon January 21 2025 after 11+ years -- Case 013 open / ALL FIGURES LABELED: estimate vs conviction vs market collapse -- see Methodology / UNODC 2023: $5.4B estimated annually from SE Asia pig-butchering compounds [UNVERIFIED]
◂ ALL CASES

FRAUD HOTSPOTS

Where fraud is run from, where it lands, and who is getting caught: 77 countries in 9 regions, taken from three independent indexes (Oxford World Cybercrime Index, Sumsub Fraud Index 2025, GI-TOC Global Organized Crime Index 2025) plus Interpol, Chainalysis, FTC, FBI IC3 and national regulators.
An index rank describes a country's criminal networks or its exposure, never its people. Estimates are labelled. September 2026.
$442B
LOST TO FRAUD WORLDWIDE IN 2025
Interpol Global Financial Fraud Threat Assessment 2026 (victim losses)
$6.75B
CRYPTO STOLEN BY NORTH KOREA, ALL-TIME
Chainalysis, Dec 2025 ($2.02B of it in 2025)
220K+
PEOPLE HELD IN SCAM COMPOUNDS
UN OHCHR 2023: 120,000+ in Myanmar, 100,000+ in Cambodia (estimates)
$48B
E-COMMERCE FRAUD A YEAR
Juniper Research estimate (publisher's figure)
THE MAP▸
EVERY COUNTRY — TOP FRAUD METHODS165▸
93 countries: the 77 on the Hotspot Map, in its order, then every other country our cases touch. The methods come from the Global Fraud Encyclopedia's country cross-reference and from the cases tied to that country. Tap a country for its page, a method for its page.
🇧🇾BelarusWCI top 20 ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware infrastructure, money laundering
🇲🇩MoldovaGI-TOC flagged ▸
Fraud types: Money laundering, banking fraud
🇬🇪GeorgiaSumsub flagged ▸
Fraud types: Call center scams, identity fraud
🇰🇿KazakhstanEmerging ▸
Fraud types: Crypto mining fraud, investment scams
🇳🇿New ZealandLow source / High target ▸
Fraud types: Investment scam victim, romance scam victim
🇻🇳Vietnam#16 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Call center scams, pig butchering participation, card fraud
🇳🇵NepalEmerging ▸
Fraud types: Mobile money fraud, lottery scams, identity fraud
🇨🇮Côte d'IvoireInterpol flagged ▸
Fraud types: Romance scams, advance fee fraud, lottery scams
🇸🇳Senegal#19 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Mobile money fraud, identity fraud, telecom scams
🇨🇲CameroonInterpol flagged ▸
Fraud types: Romance scams, advance fee, mobile money fraud
🇧🇯BeninInterpol flagged ▸
Fraud types: BEC, romance scams, advance fee fraud
🇹🇿Tanzania#5 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Mobile money fraud, SIM swap, identity fraud
🇺🇬Uganda#6 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Mobile money fraud, SIM swap, investment scams
🇪🇹EthiopiaMost targeted globally (2024) ▸
Fraud types: Malware victim, identity fraud, telecom fraud
🇷🇼Rwanda#8 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Investment fraud, social engineering, mobile fraud
🇿🇼Zimbabwe#21 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Identity fraud, mobile money fraud, Ponzi schemes
🇦🇴AngolaSumsub flagged ▸
Fraud types: Identity fraud, oil sector corruption, investment scams
🇲🇿MozambiqueEmerging ▸
Fraud types: Hidden debt scandal, investment fraud
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia#3 MENA ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, identity theft victim, improving enforcement
🇪🇬EgyptInterpol flagged ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, identity fraud, BEC participation
🇮🇶IraqInterpol flagged ▸
Fraud types: Investment scams, telecom fraud, identity fraud
🇱🇧LebanonGI-TOC 7.30 ▸
Fraud types: Financial fraud, Ponzi schemes, money laundering, crypto fraud
🇯🇴JordanMENA target ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, phishing, identity fraud
🇶🇦QatarMENA target ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, targeted by hacktivism
🇩🇿Algeria#23 Sumsub ▸
Fraud types: Identity fraud, telecom fraud, phishing
🇦🇷Argentina#3 LATAM ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, banking fraud, identity theft, money muling
🇵🇪PeruLATAM flagged ▸
Fraud types: Ransomware victim, identity fraud, telecom scams
🇪🇨Ecuador#4 GI-TOC (7.48) ▸
Fraud types: Money laundering, fraud, organized crime crossover
🇵🇾Paraguay#4 GI-TOC (7.48) ▸
Fraud types: Money laundering, contraband, financial fraud
🇻🇪VenezuelaGI-TOC flagged ▸
Fraud types: Investment scams, crypto fraud, government corruption
🇹🇹Trinidad & TobagoRegional flagged ▸
Fraud types: Identity fraud, card fraud, investment scams
🇪🇸SpainModerate ▸
Fraud types: Investment fraud, romance scams, crypto fraud
🇨🇭SwitzerlandMoney laundering hub ▸
Fraud types: Money laundering, banking secrecy exploitation, crypto hub
🇮🇪IrelandLow ▸
Fraud types: Corporate tax arbitrage, emerging crypto fraud
🇱🇺Luxembourg#1 Fraud Resilience (Sumsub) ▸
Fraud types: Lowest fraud vulnerability in the world
PICK A REGION▸
WHO LEADS EACH FRAUD TYPE
Ransomware
Russia, Ukraine, Iran
LockBit, BlackCat, REvil — all Russian-speaking
Crypto Theft (State)
North Korea
$6.75B all-time; $2.02B in 2025, 76% of hacks of crypto services (Chainalysis). Lazarus Group.
BEC / Romance Scams
Nigeria, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire
US romance-scam losses $1.14B in 2023 (FTC, from all countries). 'Yahoo Boys'; Black Axe.
Pig Butchering (Industrial)
Myanmar/Cambodia/Laos (Chinese-led)
$43.8–75B a year (estimates). Hundreds of thousands held in compounds (UN).
Card Fraud (Victim)
United States
42% of global losses on 26% of volume. No SCA mandate
Card Fraud (Source)
Russia, Romania, Ukraine
Russian forums dominate. Romanian 'Hackerville'
Gift Card ORC
China → United States
$1B+ drained annually. Project Red Hook
NFC Relay (Ghost Tap)
China (tooling) → Global
300%+ surge H1 2025. Chinese-language FaaS
Banking Trojans
Brazil, Russia
Grandoreiro, Guildma. Pix fraud. Exported globally
Friendly Fraud
United States, UK
36% of all fraud (Mastercard). 83.4% of merchants report an increase.
Synthetic Identity
United States
$23B globally. AI deepfakes. $3.3B of credit extended to synthetic identities.
Call Center Scams
India, Jamaica
Tech support + IRS impersonation + lottery scams
SIM Swap Fraud
Kenya, South Africa, Colombia
M-Pesa + mobile banking targeted. Spreading regionally
Money Laundering Hub
UAE, Switzerland, UK, Singapore
Real estate + banking + crypto used for transit
Government/State Fraud
Angola, Myanmar, Cambodia
Political elites involved in or protecting fraud (GI-TOC; US sanctions).
Identity Fraud (Volume)
Pakistan, Indonesia, Nigeria
#1, #2, #3 on Sumsub fraud vulnerability index
THE INDEXES — WHAT EACH ONE MEASURES
World Cybercrime Index (Oxford, PLOS ONE, Apr 2024). 92 experts rated 100 countries across 5 categories. Measures where cybercriminals operate FROM. Top 10: Russia, Ukraine, China, USA, Nigeria, Romania, North Korea, UK, Brazil, India.
Sumsub Fraud Index 2025. 112 countries ranked by fraud VULNERABILITY — fraud activity, access to resources, government action and economic health. Measures where it is easiest to commit fraud. Least protected: Pakistan, Indonesia, Nigeria, India, Tanzania. Most protected: Luxembourg.
Global Organized Crime Index 2025 (GI-TOC). All organized crime scored 0–10. Financial crime is now the most pervasive criminal market (6.21/10, growing fastest). Top: Myanmar 8.08, Colombia 7.82, Mexico 7.68, Ecuador and Paraguay 7.48. Covers all crime, not just fraud.
Interpol Africa Cyberthreat Assessment 2025. Cybercrime is 30%+ of all reported crime in West and East Africa. Operation Serengeti (2024): 1,006 arrests in 19 countries. Operation Red Card (2024–25): 306 arrests in 7 countries.
Chainalysis (Dec 2025). North Korea stole $2.02B in 2025 (76% of hacks of crypto services). Total crypto theft $3.4B. North Korea all-time: $6.75B.
BioCatch LATAM 2025–2026. Social engineering +155%. Stolen-device fraud +344%. Mexico account takeover +324%. 88% of fraud on mobile.
Interpol Global Financial Fraud Threat Assessment (2026). About $442B lost to fraud worldwide in 2025. AI and deepfakes accelerating.
Figures the desk checked are corrected in data/hotspots.json (editorial_changes). Other figures are the publisher's research and are labelled by source. The indexes measure different things: a high Sumsub rank means a country is easy to defraud, not that its people commit fraud.
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